NRL Grand Final: Storm Vs Panthers – Our Betting Insights & Bets

Our analyst has put together a full list of essential insights that will help you bet on H2H, match points & try scorer markets.

You will also find our bets for this game below.

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This will be the fourth meeting between the Melbourne Storm and Penrith Panthers in the NRL finals; the Storm won the 2020 Grand Final (26-20) while the Panthers have since won the 2021 Preliminary Final (10-6) and the 2023 Preliminary Final (38-4).
Four of the last five NRL Grand Finals have been decided by a margin of six points or fewer on the day, with two of the Penrith Panthers three consecutive Grand Final wins from 2021 to 2024 coming by a margin of exactly two points on the day.
The last time the NRL Grand Final winner outscored their opposition in the second half of the Grand Final on the day was in 2019 when the Sydney Roosters outscored the Canberra Raiders 6-2 in the second half.
The Melbourne Storm have won six of their last eight NRL games at Accor Stadium while the Penrith Panthers have won 12 of their last 14 games at the venue; the teams have split one win apiece in their two meetings at the venue, with the Panthers scoring exactly 20 points in the second halves of each of those games.

The Melbourne Storm have scored the opening try of the game in five of their last six NRL games against the Penrith Panthers, including in each of their two meetings so far in the 2024 campaign, while seven of the last nine games between these teams have been won by the team which scored the first try of the game on the day.
The Melbourne Storm have scored 20 tries in the final 10 minutes of games this NRL season, the most of any team in the competition, while no team has conceded fewer tries during this period than the Penrith Panthers (8).
Nathan Cleary (Penrith Panthers) has won 23 of his last 26 games in the NRL including 10 of his last 11 games; however, two of his three defeats in the competition in that time have been against the Melbourne Storm.
Jahrome Hughes (Melbourne Storm) has scored seven tries across his last four NRL games, including two hat-tricks, but has never scored a try in 11 career appearances against the Penrith Panthers.
Brian To’o (Penrith Panthers) has scored 14 tries across his last 13 NRL finals games, including on in each of his last two and at least one try in each of his three finals games against the Melbourne Storm (5 total tries).