JUNE 19,2026 - FRIDAY
NRL

Never been closer: This NRL season’s average win margin lowest since 1998

4 years ago - Sportingbase Never been closer: This NRL season’s average win margin lowest since 1998 Image
The NRL has never been closer, with the average winning margin sitting as low as 9.9 three rounds in. In fact, twenty-four games have been played thus far this season and 13 have been decided by seven points or less.

There can be no arguing these early NRL weeks have been uber-competitive.

And, further to that point, the numbers don’t lie (H/T the Rugby League Guru, who mentioned as much on the Bloke podcast last Monday). Compared to last year, when teams were winning by a monster 18 points, the NRL has come far closer to parity early. Even the tries are down, slightly, with 6.58 compared to 8.02, so far.

The points may be down, but the entertainment is way up. Upsets have ruled, the Knights, Broncos, and Cowboys have all managed major scalps so far this year, and bookies have each match-up closer than in the past three years previous.

“We want games to be as competitive as possible and as fair as possible,” footy boss Graham Annesley said. “It’s pretty clear in the first three rounds the games have been much more competitive.”



One major reason is the latest tweak to the controversial “six again” rule.

Before the season began, Annesley and the NRL ran a comb over the punishment, which had replaced the majority of penalities. It was designed to speed up the game, but many believed it had taken things too far.

Annesley agreed with the many.

And so, the NRL added penalties back for infringements within each team’s own 40-metre zone. This swap was implemented to slow the game down ever so slightly and avoid professional fouls.

There’s already been a palpable effect, especially for teams that had been locked in their own halves by the smothering rules in the 2021 season, and suffered points-wise as a result.

Annesley said: “There’s a long way to go and who knows what the rest of the season will have in store but I’d like to think the tweak of the rules around the penalties inside the 40 have given teams the opportunity to get themselves into better position and mount counter-attacks.”

Last year, round 4 saw scorelines like 38-0, 40-6, and 46-6. It was one of the more lopsided NRL weeks in history, with a 26.1-point winning margin. Hopefully, we’ll see the opposite of that this time.


CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au

Cta Bg Image

Want To Receive Our NRL News Each Week?

We can email you our NRL Content as it comes in each week

Fill in the form & you will stop seeing this each time you view our insights & tips

Related Articles

RACING: Randwick Tips – Saturday 20/6 Image RACING: Randwick Tips – Saturday 20/6

Our team of analysts has assessed the form for Saturday’s Randwick meeting and has placed their top three tips for every race below. ...

5 hours ago
The DOZEN changes Blues must make to have a chance at Origin III miracle Image The DOZEN changes Blues must make to have a chance at Origin III miracle

Laurie Daley failed to change enough between Games One and Two. Now he must sit up and listen. ...

10 hours ago
NRL: Knights Vs Dragons – Match Insights & Our Tips Image NRL: Knights Vs Dragons – Match Insights & Our Tips

The Newcastle Knights return from the bye on Friday night looking to reignite their push up the ladder when they host the St. George Illawarra Dragons...

4 hours ago
Header Logo
Blackbook
Form guide