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NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 5/11

4 years ago - Sportingbase NBA Player Performance Service: Our Expert Selections – 5/11 Image

Results:
  • -7.10 Units Loss
  • -17% ROI
  • View Results Spreadsheets

Sixers vs Pistons 10:10am AEST

Jeez. Back to back horror games for Cade. He looked baaad against the Bucks, with his misses not even being close. There could be a million reasons for this, but I’m happy to give him the benefit of the doubt for now as he has an excellent body of work up until these two games. Not brave enough to put much on here but these odds are really nice odds for the role. He got up 14 shots in his 29 minutes even though he was shooting horribly which is a good sign, if he can knock down a few early then he’ll likely be more aggressive and he was on pace to play into the 30s before the blowout. Only a small bet but worth having something on here at the nice price.

  • Cade Cunningham over 19.5 Points @ 10.00 with B365 – 0.1 unuts
Jazz vs Hawks 10:40am AEST

Small sample this season so have gone back to last year as it’s essentially the same team, and Conley was great in 750 minutes without Donny, averaging 17/8 per game over a 9 game span. It is worth noting he averaged just 28 mins a game in this sample. Donny has taken control of the offence this season with a team high 6.0 minutes of touch time, so am definitely expecting most of that to go to Conley (and Ingles).

  • Mike Conley over 22.5 Points + Assists @ 1.83 with Sportsbet – 1 unit
  • Mike Conley Double Double @ 11.25 with B365 – 0.1 units

Was a pretty common bet of ours last year when either Conley or Donny missed, as the extra ball handling duties put Ingles in a much higher upside spot as he can create his own offence off the dribble.

  • Joe Ingles over 19.5 Points @ 15.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

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Staking Plan – 1.3 units out
  • Cade Cunningham over 19.5 Points @ 10.00 with B365 – 0.1 unuts
  • Mike Conley over 22.5 Points + Assists @ 1.83 with Sportsbet – 1 unit
  • Mike Conley Double Double @ 11.25 with B365 – 0.1 units
  • Joe Ingles over 19.5 Points @ 15.00 with Sportsbet – 0.1 units

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