It is the most talked-about race in the world right now and with the best sprinters in the world about to do battle we’ve had our form analyst, Chris Camilleri to take a look and give us his analysis and selections.
Distance
- 1200m
Track Conditions
- Good 4
- Rail – True
Track Bias
Expecting a relatively even track with all runners getting their chance dependant on individual race pace.
Early Speed
- Fast
Expecting Nature Strip (12) to cross and try to lead at a fast pace with Redzel (7) either sitting outside the speed or could even push on to try and take up the running, Sunlight (6) & In Her Time (4) will be handy to the pace.
Top Pick
Going with Anthony Freedman trained 1. Santa Ana Lane, was very good first up in the Group 2 Gilgai up the Flemington straight sitting back off a moderate tempo before powering to the line late, will take a heap of improvement from that effort and has won 3 times in his career when second up. With the predicted fast early pace Mark Zahra will go back and settle towards the rear and saved for one sprint at them late.
Danger
Tony & Calvin McEvoy trained 9. Sunlight offers great value in current markets around the $15 mark, beat home Santa Ana Lane last start over 1200m in the Gilgai and draws to get a beautiful run behind the hot speed set by Nature Strip and Redzel, loves the 1200m recording 7 wins from 10 starts at the distance.
Lay
Heavily against the sole 3YO in the field for the Chris Waller stable 12. Yes Yes Yes, nice run last start in the Group 1 Golden Rose behind Bivouac where he loomed up to win and faded late to go down by 0.2 lengths, just feel this is a huge step up to WFA conditions against the best sprinters in Australia and from barrier 9 it will be tough to find a position in running.
Betting Strategy
- Back – Santa Ana Lane (2 Unit Win Bet)
- Back – Sunlight (0.5 Unit Win Bet)
- Lay – Yes Yes Yes
