The stage is set for a huge night and our team has put together their preview which supplies you with everything from insights to our picks for game 3.
QLD MAROONS VS NSW BLUES – WEDNESDAY 13TH JULY, 8:10PM, SUNCORP STADIUM
Following Queensland’s narrow win in the series opener in Sydney it was the Blues hitting back in Perth to set up a mouth-watering contest at the spiritual home of Origin.
Despite criticism of some perceived kneejerk changes from coach Brad Fittler, the Blues addressed their game one shortcomings impressively. They dominated the middle of the field – with inspirational Jake Trbojevic’s return for NSW and Reuben Cotter’s absence for Queensland proving crucial – and Nathan Cleary produced a man-of-the-match display on the back of it.
Both sides have been forced into changes with Blues prop Payne Haas nursing a shoulder injury and Maroons stalwart Felise Kaufusi on family leave in the USA.
North Queensland forward Tom Gilbert will join Billy Slater’s bench, with young gun Jeremiah Nanai set for his first start at the Origin level.
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Recent Matchups
The historical Origin decider stats make daunting reading for the Blues. In 21 game three clashes where the series has still been alive, Queensland has won 14 times to NSW’s five, with two drawn (the Maroons retained the shield on both occasions as the current holders).
The last six Origins in Brisbane have produced totals of 32 points or less. The scale of the Perth result shouldn’t unduly concern the Maroons: on the seven occasions a team has lost game two by 16-plus to force a decider, they’ve either won game three or lost by six points or less.
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Betting Insights
- In eight of the last nine Origin series, the team that lost Game II has covered the line in Game III.
- Five of the last six Origin III matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.
- Valentine Holmes has been the first try-scorer in each of the last three Origin III matches at Suncorp Stadium.
- James Tedesco has scored at least one try in three of the last four Origin III matches.
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Our Picks [bet-au-3]
- $25 NSW 1-12 @ $3.00
- $75 Under 39.5 Match Points @ $1.93
- $50 James Tedesco Anytime Try Scorer @ $2.70
- $50 James Tedesco Man Of the Match @ $7
- $100 NSW -8.5 @ $2
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