F1 Dutch GP Preview: Our Expert Tips & Staking Plan

4 years ago - Sportingbase F1 Dutch GP Preview: Our Expert Tips & Staking Plan Image
We head to the Dutch GP with a handful of bets that look to offer some value as we look to build a solid bank at the backend of the season.

2021 Season Tipping Results:
(We’re basing 1 unit as $1 for this service)

Top 10

One of the big surprises out of qualifying was that the Aston Martins failed to make it into the top 10 after starting the week so well.

They did have the major issue of being stuck behind traffic in the out lap and Sebastian was lucky to avoid a crash on his fast lap.

Even though overtaking will be difficult here I still feel they can use their pace to make a handful of overtakes which should see them reach the top 10.

  • 250 units Stroll @ $2.75 With TopSport – (potential profit = $437.5)
  • 50 units Vettel @ $3.25 With TopSport – (potential profit = $112.50)
Market outlay = 300 units ($300)

Podium

As expected, there is no value in the top 3 qualifiers here but I want to have a nibble at Gasly at the price.

He has been in good form again this season and will be ready to pounce on any mistakes made by the top 3.

With Hamilton & Verstappen set to do battle again, there could be fireworks that could see Pierre move into the top 3.

  • 100 units Gasly @ $6 With TopSport – (potential profit = $500)
Market outlay = 100 units ($100)

Fastest Lap

This may be the only market where we get a bit of value as there is nothing between the top 4 drivers on the grid so the likelihood of them pitting for new tyres to attack the fastest lap is low.

We’re going to spread some small plays across the two Ferraris and Pierre Gasly.

We also want to have a good go at Perez due to the fact that he could get into the top 10 then look for a valuable bonus point for Redbull but if he doesn’t he may pit for soft tyres just to make sure that Mercedes don’t get it.

  • 50 units Gasly @ $41 With TopSport – (potential profit = $1,650)
  • 50 units Leclerc @ 21 With TopSport – (potential profit = $650)
  • 50 units Sainz @ $21 With TopSport – (potential profit = $650)
  • 250 units Perez @ $7 With TopSport – (potential profit = $1,300)
* Profit calculated on all outlay substracted
Market outlay = 400 units ($400)


Race Winner

Max looks very hard to beat here but the $1.52 is ridiculously short. With nothing between the Dutchman and Hamilton in qualifying added to the fact, this track is looking extremely difficult to overtake you will basically be betting on who gets the best start and their strategy perfect.

All of that considered, Hamilton is juicy odds at $2.75 & may be worth a small play.

  • 100 units Hamilton @ $2.75 With TopSport – (potential profit = $175)
Market outlay = 100 units ($100)

Staking Plan
  • 250 units Stroll @ $2.75 – (potential profit = $437.5)
  • 50 units Vettel @ $3.25 – (potential profit = $112.50)
  • 100 units Gasly @ $6 – (potential profit = $500)
  • 50 units Gasly @ $41 – (potential profit = $1,650)
  • 50 units Leclerc @ 21 – (potential profit = $650)
  • 50 units Sainz @ $21 – (potential profit = $650)
  • 250 units Perez @ $7 – (potential profit = $1,300)
  • 100 units Hamilton @ $2.75 – (potential profit = $175)
Total race outlay = 1,050 units ($1,050)
Highest Potential Profit = $2,875

CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

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