Port Adelaide and Melbourne arrive at Adelaide Oval with sharply contrasting recent form, making the underlying scoring and player trends particularly interesting. The Power have now lost five consecutive matches, while the Demons have won four of their past five and are producing considerably higher-scoring contests heading towards the finals.
Port Adelaide sits at 6-15 after a brutal 167-70 defeat to Sydney, following losses to GWS, Brisbane, Fremantle and St Kilda. Melbourne improved to 14-7 after edging Fremantle 113-109, with its only defeat across the past five coming against Geelong. The Demons have scored at least 92 points in each of those five matches.
Last Three Meetings
- Round 14, 2025: Port Adelaide 14.9 (93) defeated Melbourne 9.14 (68)
- Round 23, 2024: Port Adelaide 7.11 (53) defeated Melbourne 7.9 (51)
- Round 4, 2024: Melbourne 15.6 (96) defeated Port Adelaide 13.11 (89)
Port Adelaide has won two of the past three meetings, with those matches producing an average combined total of 150.0 points and an average margin of 11.3 points. The Power won the most recent meeting by 25 points at Adelaide Oval.
Leading Goalkickers – Past Five Games
Port Adelaide
- Corey Durdin: Seven goals
- Jason Horne-Francis: Six goals
- Mitch Georgiades: Five goals
Durdin has been Port Adelaide’s leading scorer across the club’s past five matches, while Horne-Francis has kicked six despite missing the Fremantle game. Georgiades has five goals from his appearances during the same team window.
Melbourne
- Harry Petty: 10 goals
- Bayley Fritsch: Seven goals
- Kysaiah Pickett: Five goals
Petty’s 10 goals have come from only three appearances within Melbourne’s five-game team window, including four against Geelong and three each against Gold Coast and Fremantle. Fritsch has kicked seven during the period, while Pickett has contributed five alongside his midfield work.
Leading Disposal Averages – Past Five Games
Port Adelaide
- Ollie Wines: 23.8 disposals per game
- Jase Burgoyne: 23.4 disposals per game
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 21.4 disposals per game
Wines has collected 119 disposals across Port Adelaide’s past five matches, including 30 against Fremantle and 25 against GWS. Burgoyne has averaged 23.4 across all five and produced a 34-disposal performance against Sydney, while Byrne-Jones has averaged 21.4.
Jason Horne-Francis averaged 25.0 disposals from four appearances within this five-game team window, but missed the Fremantle match. His 30- and 29-disposal performances against Brisbane and GWS underline his recent output.
Melbourne
- Jake Bowey: 27.6 disposals per game
- Tom Sparrow: 26.6 disposals per game
- Trent Rivers: 23.6 disposals per game
Bowey has been Melbourne’s leading possession winner across the five-game stretch, recording 31, 29, 25, 29 and 24 disposals. Sparrow has been similarly consistent with 27, 33, 24, 25 and 24, while Rivers has averaged 23.6 across all five appearances.
Average Total Match Points – Past 10 Games
Port Adelaide
Port Adelaide’s past 10 matches have produced an average combined total of 166.0 points.
- Highest total: 237 points against Sydney
- Lowest total: 125 points against North Melbourne
- Matches reaching 180+ points: Three of 10
Port’s scoring profile has changed dramatically over the past month. The Power’s latest three matches have produced combined totals of 237, 138 and 193 points, with their defence conceding 126 points to Brisbane and 167 to Sydney during the five-game losing streak.
Melbourne
Melbourne’s past 10 matches have produced an average combined total of 184.7 points.
- Highest total: 222 points against Fremantle
- Lowest total: 141 points against Adelaide
- Matches reaching 180+ points: Five of 10
Melbourne’s recent games have been considerably more open. Its past five matches have produced combined totals of 176, 168, 214, 219 and 222 points, meaning the past three have all cleared 200 combined points.
The contrast is significant: Melbourne’s past 10 matches have averaged 18.7 more combined points than Port Adelaide’s. The Demons also enter this contest after scoring 113 against Fremantle and 114 against Gold Coast, while Port has conceded 293 points across its past two matches against GWS and Sydney.
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