St Kilda and Sydney meet at Marvel Stadium in a match carrying major implications at opposite ends of the finals race. The Saints are attempting to strengthen their wildcard position, while the Swans are looking to protect their place inside the top two.
St Kilda enters with a 9-10 record after pulling away from North Melbourne for a 31-point victory. Sydney improved to 14-5 with a commanding 51-point Sydney Derby win over GWS and has not lost to a team currently sitting in the bottom half of the ladder this season.
Last Three Meetings
- Round 13, 2026: Sydney 15.14 (104) defeated St Kilda 15.12 (102)
- Round 19, 2025: Sydney 14.8 (92) defeated St Kilda 13.9 (87)
- Round 18, 2024: St Kilda 13.6 (84) defeated Sydney 11.16 (82)
The past three meetings have all been decided by five points or fewer, producing an average combined total of 183.7 points and an average margin of just 3.0 points.
Leading Goalkickers – Past Five Games
St Kilda
- Jack Higgins: Eight goals
- Liam Ryan: Five goals
- Anthony Caminiti: Four goals
Higgins has been St Kilda’s most consistent scorer across its past five matches, while Ryan and Caminiti have provided additional avenues inside 50.
Sydney
- Charlie Curnow: 18 goals
- Chad Warner: 13 goals
- Isaac Heeney: Three goals
Curnow has been Sydney’s dominant scoring threat, including six goals against the Western Bulldogs and five against Fremantle during this five-game stretch. Warner’s ability to push forward from the midfield has also given the Swans another dangerous route to goal.
Leading Disposal Averages – Past Five Games
St Kilda
- Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera: 37.8 disposals per game
- Marcus Windhager: 26.2 disposals per game
- Darcy Wilson: 25.8 disposals per game
Wanganeen-Milera has been in outstanding possession form, recording 44, 46, 32, 21 and 46 disposals across St Kilda’s past five matches. Windhager and Wilson have been the Saints’ next most productive ball-winners during that period.
Sydney
- Errol Gulden: 30.0 disposals per game
- Chad Warner: 25.6 disposals per game
- Callum Mills: 26.0 disposals per game
Gulden returned to Sydney’s side during this five-match period and produced a dominant 41-disposal performance against GWS. Warner and Mills have provided consistent support, with Warner collecting 32 disposals in the Sydney Derby.
Average Total Match Points – Past 10 Games
St Kilda
St Kilda’s past 10 matches have produced an average combined total of 173.9 points.
- Highest total: 206 points
- Lowest total: 144 points
- Matches reaching 180+ points: Four of 10
Sydney
Sydney’s past 10 matches have produced an average combined total of 188.1 points.
- Highest total: 227 points
- Lowest total: 145 points
- Matches reaching 180+ points: Seven of 10
Sydney’s matches have averaged 14.2 more combined points than St Kilda’s across their respective past 10 games. The Swans have also reached the 180-point mark in seven of those contests, compared with four for the Saints.
