JULY 16,2026 - THURSDAY
AFL

AFL: Melbourne vs Essendon – Match Insights & Our Tips

1 month ago - DustinS AFL: Melbourne vs Essendon – Match Insights & Our Tips Image
Melbourne have been red hot at the MCG this year recording wins in all 7 of their games. Essendon on the other hand have been hapless this season with only one win to their name, albeit a 45 point victory against Melbourne at Marvel Stadium back in Round 5. It looks to be a matter of how far for the in-form Demons at the home of footy.

The Demons have won 3 from their last 5. Their MCG win record is no anomaly with wins against Collingwood, Hawthorn, Brisbane and Gold Coast to their name. The Bombers have lost 8 straight and have struggled to establish any defensive unity whilst lacking a brand with the footy. Melbourne look likely to cover the line and you’d expect their stars to feast on the confidence lacking Dons.


Betting Insights
  • Melbourne – Head to Head 1.19

Essendon has lost each of its last 17 matches in Victoria.

  • Under (158.5) – Total Game Points – Over/Under 1.87

Each of the last seven matches at the MCG have gone UNDER the total match points line.

  • ESS Zach Merrett – 30+ Disposals 1.82

Zach Merrett has recorded 31+ disposals in four of his last five appearances against Melbourne.

  • Max Gawn – 20+ Disposals 1.64

Max Gawn has recorded 20+ disposals in each of Melbourne’s last seven matches against opponents on a losing streak.

  • Ed Langdon – 25+ Disposals3.14

Ed Langdon has recorded 25+ disposals in four of his last five home appearances against Essendon.

  • MEL Jack Steele – 25+ Disposals 1.87

Jack Steele has recorded 25+ disposals in each of Melbourne’s last four matches against opponents on a losing streak.

  • MEL Kysaiah Pickett – 25+ Disposals 1.86

Kysaiah Pickett has recorded 25+ disposals in five of Melbourne’s last six matches as a favourite.

  • Kysaiah Pickett – 2+ Goals 2.00

Kysaiah Pickett has kicked 2 goals in each of Melbourne’s last four matches against Essendon.

View our line, disposals, goals & match points tips below


Our Bets

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