JULY 4,2026 - SATURDAY
AFL

AFL: Hawthorn vs Melbourne – Match Insights & Our Tips

2 hours ago - DustinS AFL: Hawthorn vs Melbourne – Match Insights & Our Tips Image
Hawthorn and Melbourne sit 3rd and 7th on the ladder but are only separated by 1.5 wins. The Hawks will keep the gap between themselves and the big pack hunting Top 4 spots. The Demons can go into a crucial Top 6 spot with an upset.

 The Hawks are coming off back-to-back wins against the Giants and Suns and made 5 changes. They will benefit from the return of gun goal kicker Jack Gunston but do lose Nick Watson, Karl Amon, Ned Reeves and Josh Battle to injury. The Demons also have a host of changes but on a more positive note bring in Jiath, Latrelle Pickett and Harrison Petty. The Hawks should prove hard to beat having won their last 12 matches at the University of Tasmania.


Betting Insights-

  • Hawthorn – Head to Head 1.49

Hawthorn has won each of its last 12 matches at University of Tasmania Stadium.

  • Under (169.5) – Total Game Points – Over/Under 1.89

Eleven of Hawthorn’s last 12 home matches have gone UNDER the total match points line.

  • Jai Newcombe – 30+ Disposals 2.67

Jai Newcombe has recorded 31+ disposals in each of Hawthorn’s last three matches.

  • HAW Jack Gunston – 3+ Goals 1.64

Jack Gunston has kicked 3+ goals in each of his last nine home appearances.

  • Will Day – 20+ Disposals 1.22

Will Day has recorded 20+ disposals in each of his last nine appearances at University of Tasmania Stadium.

  • MEL Jake Bowey – 20+ Disposals 1.14

Jake Bowey has recorded 22+ disposals in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that were ranked in the top eight.

View our line, disposals, goals & match points tips below


Our Bets

  • $200 Hawthron 1-39 @ $2.15 With Unibet– Bet Here
  • $ 50 SGMJ Newcombe 28+ Disp/ J Bowey 22+ Disp/ W Day 22+ Disp/ J Gunston 3+ Goals @ $5.75 With Unibet– Bet Here

CHANCES ARE YOU’RE ABOUT TO LOSE.

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