2021 NFL Week 18 Preview: Our Expert Tips & Staking Plan

4 years ago - Sportingbase

So the NFL regular season comes to a close tonight and we are looking to go out with a bang.

I will likely be adding some more picks before the games so make sure to check back.

Season to date

Premium picks:

Profit/Loss: +2.03 units
ROI: 1%
Strike rate: 45%

Free Thursday Night Football Picks:

Profit/Loss: -13.89 units
ROI: -26%
Strike rate: 30%

Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions

There is some risk that Green Bay pull their starters early in this one but I think they will get long enough. They still have to secure the number one seed and Aaron Rodgers needs one final big performance to settle the MVP race. They can get it done, and get it done early here.

2 units Packers -3 2.0 with TopSport
3 units Packers -3 first half 1.81 with TopSport

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans

While Green Bay are likely to keep starters all the way, with Tennessee’s injury issues this season I expect them to play this one safe and get them out as soon as they can. The Texans have been playing hard over this second half of the season and kept lots of games close. They can keep this one within reach.

2 units Texans +10.5 2.0 with TopSport

Washington Football Team @ New York Giants

I am no fan of the Giants, but this Washington team is not much better. Both are among the worst in the league for me and this is just a value play. I would take anyone against Washington getting this many points.

2 units Giants +7 2.0 with TopSport
1 unit Giants moneyline 3.5 with TopSport

Los Angeles Chargers @ Las Vegas Raiders

The one game that truly means something here. Winner makes the playoffs. Loser goes home. There is such a gap in talent between these two teams and I just want to go with the Chargers to get it done. It feels strange that the Raiders are still alive btu I don’t think that last too much longer.