2021 NFL Week 16 Preview: Our Expert Tips & Staking Plan

4 years ago - Sportingbase

Merry Christmas to all of you. Hopefully we can make it even better.

I will likely be adding some more picks before the games so make sure to check back.

Season to date

Premium picks:

Profit/Loss: -2.49 units
ROI: -1%
Strike rate: 44%

Free Thursday Night Football Picks:

Profit/Loss: -11.89 units
ROI: -23%
Strike rate: 31%

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots

I just continue to believe that this New England team is overrated. The game against the Colts showed how you can beat them and the Bills can make it another loss for Mac Jones and Co.

2 units Bills +1 1.91 with TopSport

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Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets

This game is going to go a long way to deciding who has the first pick in next years draft. Both these teams are a little hopeless but I think the Jets just have a bit more in there. They are coached better, even with Robert Saleh missing the game and Zach Wilson can come out on top in this battle of the first two picks in the draft.

2 units Jets -2 2.0 with TopSport
1 unit Michael Carter any time touchdown 2.40 with TopSport

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Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks

I am no big fan of the Bears, but this Seahawks team is so badly coached right now. They run the ball way too much and it means they are always trying to play catch up with big gains needed on third downs. The Bears are solid enough, and this spread is just too big for a team as flakey as this current Seahawks.

3 units Bears +6.5 2.0 with TopSport
1 unit Justin Fields any time touchdown 3.40 with TopSport
1 unit Rashaad Penny any time touchdown 2.25 with TopSport

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Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints

The Saints quarterback room just continues to be decimated this season. This week Ian Book gets his first NFL start. The Dolphins come in on a huge roll and can take that into this one.