Week 14 NFL Preview, Insights & Analysis

Week 14 of the National Football League season is about to get started. For many football fans, this week has added meaning as it is the start of the 2019 Fantasy Football playoffs. There are some very intriguing games on the schedule. Here are four of them that you should keep your eye on.

San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints

Two teams that are in double digits in wins will face each other at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome in Louisiana. The 49ers and Saints currently share 10-2 records heading into their Sunday matchup.

Why the 49ers win:

The 49ers have been great on the road this year with only one loss to Baltimore. San Francisco has also scored 51 more points than New Orleans and given up 65 fewer points than the Saints. The 49ers are also averaging 148 rushing yards per game, which is second in the NFL.

Why the Saints win:

The Saints have now won three in a row since their confusing 26-9 loss to the Atlanta Falcons on November 10. New Orleans also has the second-highest turnover differential in the NFL at +11.

Betting Insights

• The Saints have won each of their last seven games following a Division game.
• The Saints have covered the line in four of their last five home games against NFC West opponents.
• Jared Cook has scored a touchdown in each of the Saints’ last two day games.
• Michael Thomas has scored at least one touchdown in eight of the Saints’ last 10 regular season day games at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

My take:

We expected the Saints to be 10-2. The 49ers, however, are a bit of a surprise. Tight end Jared Cook is starting to become the target New Orleans was hoping he would become when they acquired him in the offseason from Oakland. In his last two games, Cook has nine catches for 184 receiving yards. I like the Saint’s offensive weapons more than the 49ers. Take New Orleans.

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Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills

Baltimore, arguably the best team in football, will have their hands full against a much improved Buffalo Bills squad. This is the best Bills team since the Doug Flutie era.

Why the Ravens win:

If Baltimore isn’t the best team in football at the moment, I do not know who is. In their eight-game winning streak, they have beaten formidable opponents such as the Pittsburgh Steelers and San Francisco 49ers and annihilated other opponents above .500 such as the New England Patriots, Los Angeles Rams and Houston Texans. At 10-2, the Ravens will not be intimated by the rowdy Bills fans in Orchard Park.

Why the Bills win:

There have been only three teams this season that have given up fewer than 200 points. One of them is the 9-3 Buffalo Bills. At 188 points against, the Bills have only given up 195.8 yards passing per game, the third-fewest in the NFL.

Betting Insights

• The Ravens have covered the line in each of their last four games against AFC East opponents.
• Cole Beasley has scored the first touchdown in each of the Bills’ last three games at New Era Field.
• Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Bills’ last five games.
• Mark Ingram II has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances in road games against AFC opponents.

My take:

Lamar Jackson deserves the NFL MVP award for 2019 now. Regardless of what happens the rest of the season. He has simply been that amazing. The 406 points Baltimore has scored is first in the NFL by 57 points over the second-place 49ers. The Bills have a solid pass defense, but only an ordinary rush defense, which will find it hard to stop not only Jackson but running back Mark Ingram Jr. too.

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Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots

The Chiefs got a big win last week against Oakland to stay on top of the AFC West at 8-4. The Patriots meanwhile will look to get back on track after a rather unexpected 28-22 loss to the Houston Texans last Sunday night.

Why the Chiefs win:

Kansas City might not have the best defense in the NFL, but they have a timely defense and are able to execute a big playoff a turnover that can instantly impact a game. Last weekend against the Raiders, Juan Thornhill did just that with a pick-six for 46 yards in the second quarter, which put the Chiefs up 21-0. The Chiefs D will have to come up with a big turnover off of Tom Brady and the Pats if they expect to win.

Why the Patriots win:

Have you seen the Patriots D this season? The team has an outstanding turnover ratio of +18, which leads the NFL and their 145 points allowed is the fewest in the NFL.

Betting Insights

• The Patriots have covered the line in eight of their last nine December games at Gillette Stadium.
• Each of the Chiefs’ last seven games as underdogs have gone OVER the total match points line.

My Take:

The Chiefs have something that the Patriots don’t. That’s momentum. Despite their strong defense, the Patriots (10-2) have struggled against mobile quarterbacks this year such as Jackson and Deshaun Watson of the Houston Texans. You can put Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs in that same category. The Patriots are coming off a shorter week than the Chiefs by a few hours. An upset here is very possible. Take Kansas City.

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Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams

In a NFC West Division matchup, the Seahawks have now won five straight after their 37-30 win over the Minnesota Vikings on Monday night. At 10-2, the Seahawks have a three game lead over the 7-5 Rams right now in the division.

Why the Seahawks win:

Seattle’s offense is as good as there is in the NFL at the moment. They have the third-most yards in the NFL per game (390.3) and the third-most rushing yards per game in the NFL (143.7).

Why the Rams win:

The Rams have had more time to prepare than the Seahawks, who just played on Monday night. The Rams can also take confidence in the fact that they should have beaten the Seahawks earlier this season. Heading into the final play of the game and Seattle leading 30-29, Rams kicker Greg Zuerlein missed a 44-yard field goal.

Betting Insights

• The Seahawks have won each of their last six road games.
• Each of the last four games between the Seahawks and Rams have gone OVER the total match points line.

My take:

The Rams have only beaten one team all year that is currently above .500. That was the New Orleans Saints back in week two by a score of 27-9. Since then they have lost four times to teams above the .500 mark. The Seahawks will extend that streak to five Sunday night.

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