Week 10 NFL Preview & Analysis | The Sporting Base
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Week 10 NFL Preview & Analysis

November 8, 2019

Week 10 NFL Preview & Analysis

For the second straight week, an undefeated team in the National Football League will battle a tough opponent in prime time. Last Sunday, the perfect season for the New England Patriots ended with a 37-20 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. This week, we will find out if the San Francisco 49ers move to 9-0 as they face their NFC West Divison rivals, the Seattle Seahawks (7-2) on Monday night.


Why the Seahawks win:

Russell Wilson is playing like a MVP candidate at the moment. He has a gawdy touchdown to interception ratio of 22:1. Last week, he threw five touchdown passes in a 40-34 overtime win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.


Why the 49ers win:

Both the Seahawks and 49ers have great offenses. It is on defense where San Francisco has a decisive edge. They have given up 128 fewer points than the Seahawks this season. This will be a special game for 49ers veteran cornerback Richard Sherman, who leads San Francisco with three interceptions. Sherman is now in his second season for San Francisco after playing his first seven seasons as a Seahawk.


Betting Insights:
  • The Seahawks have covered the line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • Each of the Seahawks’ last six games as underdogs have gone OVER the total match points line.

My take:

The Seahawks are shockingly 4-0 on the road this season, but they have not faced a team above .500 away from Seattle in 2019. The Seahawks traditionally struggle against elite teams when not playing in the Pacific northwest. The 49ers have the edge and remain undefeated.

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Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders

The Los Angeles Chargers (4-5) are coming off their most impressive win of the season, a 26-11 victory over the Green Bay Packers. The Chargers defense deserves an incredible amount of praise for limiting the Packers to 161 yards passing and only 45 yards rushing.


Why the Chargers win:

The Chargers pass defense has been solid all season. They have given up only 208.7 yards per game, which is the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Casey Hayward Jr. is emerging as one of the top cornerbacks in the league and will present a problem for the Raiders receivers.


Why the Raiders win:

Don’t expect the Chargers to have the same success on the ground rushing the football as they did last week against the Green Bay Packers. That is because the Raiders defensive line is significantly better as they have given up only 92.5 yards per game compared to the Packers’ 127.7 yards per game.


Betting Insights:
  • The Chargers have covered the line in each of their last eight road games in November.
  • The Chargers have won each of their last four games against the Raiders.
  • Each of the last seven games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total match points line.
  • Melvin Gordon III has scored the first touchdown in each of the Chargers’ last three games.

My take:

The Raiders (4-4) are a very tough team to play against at home. With a record of 3-1, they have a lot to play for in their final season in Oakland before making the transition to Vegas in 2020. The Raiders squeak out a tight Thursday night win.

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Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers

Aaron Rodgers will try to put his abysmal performance in southern California last week behind him. The Packers (7-2) still lead the NFC North, but have the 6-3 Minnesota Vikings breathing down their necks.


Why the Panthers win:

The Packers defensive line struggled mightily last week in trying to stop the Melvin Gordon/Austin Ekeler combo, as they rushed for 150 yards combined. Now they will try and have to stop the NFL’s second-leading rusher in Christian McCaffrey. Good luck!


Why the Packers win:

There is no doubt that Panthers quarterback Kyle Allen has had great success this season with a record of 5-1. However, he does not have any experience of playing in the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field in November. That is a different beast altogether.


Betting Insights:
  • The Panthers have covered the line in five of their last six games.
  • Each of the last seven games between the Panthers and Packers have gone OVER the total match points line.
  • Christian McCaffrey has scored the first touchdown in four of the Panthers’ last five games.
  • Jamaal Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last four games.

My take:

The Packers have scored a combined total of 73 points at home in their last two games in Wisconsin. Expect the 15 point loss to the Chargers to be an anomaly. Take the Packers over a 5-3 Panthers squad.

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Minnesota Vikings @ Dallas Cowboys

It has been a solid season for Minnesota and Dallas. The Vikings are at 6-3 and saw their four-game winning streak snapped against the Kansas City Chiefs a week ago. The Cowboys are at 5-3 and continue to lead the NFC East, which could be considered one of the weakest divisions in the NFL.


Why the Vikings win:

Dalvin Cook is now the NFL rushing yards leader with 894. The 24-year-old is starting to become a complete football player as he has a career-high 338 receiving yards and is emerging as a formidable blocker in pass protection.


Why the Cowboys win:

Dallas played mighty tough two weeks ago at home against the Philadelphia Eagles on a Sunday night in a 37-10 win. They then duplicated their point total in a 37-18 win over the New York Giants on Monday. Ezekiel Elliott had 111 rushing yards against the Eagles and 139 rushing yards against the Giants.


Betting Insights:
  • Each of the last nine Sunday night games at AT&T Stadium have been won by the favourites.
  • The Vikings have failed to cover the line in six of their last seven night games.

My take:

Kirk Cousins is having a fine season in Minnesota. In addition to his strong touchdown to interception ratio of 16:3, Cousins has a career-high 112 quarterback rating and is getting better protection in the pocket. Minnesota wins a tight contest.

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